Author Topic: (TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE) is a (REMNANT)-(FINAL REPORT)-(8/29/2018) (Read 2737 times)

ipfd320 · « **on:** August 29, 2018, 09:45:26 pm »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/173613.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/173613.shtml?cone#contents

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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)*

*(8:00 PM EDT)*--*(Wed Aug 29 2018)*

*(For the North Atlantic)*--*(Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico)*

*(DISTURBANCE # 1)*--A Vigorous Low Pressure Area Associated with a Tropical Wave is
Forecast to Form Between the Coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands on Thursday.

Conditions Appears to be Favorable for Subsequent Additional Development, and a Tropical Depression is
Likely to Form by the Weekend While the System Moves Westward or West-Northwestward Near the Cabo Verde Islands
and the Adjacent Atlantic.

This System is Expected to Bring Rains and Gusty Winds to Those Islands in Two or Three Days,
and Interests in that Region should Monitor the Progress of this Disturbance.

*(Formation Chance Through 48 Hours)*...*(Medium)*...*(40 Percent)*
*(Formation Chance Through 5 Days)*...*(High)*...*(70 Percent)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #1 on:** August 30, 2018, 10:34:43 am »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/173613.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/173613.shtml?cone#contents

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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

*(Tropical Weather Outlook)*--*(UPDATED REPORT)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)*

*(8:00 AM EDT)*--*(Thu Aug 30 2018)*

*(For the North Atlantic)*--*(Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico)*

*(DISTURBANCE # 1)*--Satellite Images and Surface Observations Indicate that a
Well-Defined Low Pressure System is Located just Off the West Coast of Senegal, Africa.

Environmental Conditions are Favorable for a Tropical Depression or a Tropical Storm to Form as the Disturbance
Moves Westward or West-Northwestward at about 15 mph Near the Cabo Verde Islands During the Next Day or Two.

This System is Expected to Bring Heavy Rains and Strong Gusty Winds to the Cabo Verde Islands
on Friday and Saturday, and if the Current Development trend continues,

Tropical Storm Watches or Warnings Will Likely be Required for these Islands Later Today.

Interests on the Cabo Verde Islands should Continue to Closely Monitor
the Progress of this Developing Disturbance.

*(Formation Chance through 48 Hours)*--*(High)*--*(80 Percent)*
*(Formation Chance through 5 Days)*--*(High)*--*(90 Percent)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #2 on:** August 30, 2018, 02:34:35 pm »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/173613.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/173613.shtml?cone#contents

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979
WTNT31 KNHC 301734
TCPAT1

----------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*------------------------------------------------------------------

*(Potential Tropical Cyclone Six)*--*(Intermediate Advisory Number 1-A)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(2:00 PM AST)*--*(Thu Aug 30 2018)*

*************************************************************************************************************

***(HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS ON FRIDAY)***

*********************************(SUMMARY OF 2:00 PM AST...18:00 UTC...INFORMATION)****************************

LOCATION...*(12.9 N)*-*(19.0 W)*

ABOUT *(335 MI)*-*(540 KM)*-*(ESE OF THE SOUTHERN MOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(30 MPH)*-*(45 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(W OR 280 DEGREES)*AT *(12 MPH)*-*(19 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(1007 MB)*-*(29.74 INCHES)*

--------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*-------------------------------------------------------
*(CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY)*

*(NONE)*

----------------------------------------------*(SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT)*-------------------------------------------

A Tropical Storm Warning is in Effect for...

*(Santiago)
*(Fogo)
*(Brava)

A Tropical Storm Warning Means that Tropical Storm Conditions are
Expected Somewhere within the Warning area within *(36 Hours)*

For Storm Information Specific to Your Area, Please Monitor Products
Issued by your National Meteorological Service.

------------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*-------------------------------------------------------

At *(2:00 PM AST)*-*(18:00 UTC)*--The Disturbance was Centered Near
*(Latitude 12.9 North)*-*(Longitude 19.0 West)*

The System is Moving Toward the West Near *(12 mph)*-*(19 km/h)*, and this General Motion with a Gradual
Turn Toward the West-Northwest is Expected to Continue During the Next few Days.

On the Forecast Track, the Disturbance is Expected to
Move Near or Over the Southern Cabo Verde Islands on Friday.

Maximum Sustained Winds are Near *(30 mph)*-*(45 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.

Some Strengthening is Forecast During the Next *(48 Hours)*, and
the Disturbance is Expected to Become a Tropical Storm During the Next Day or So.

Environmental Conditions are Favorable for the System to Become a
Tropical Cyclone Tonight or Friday.

*(Formation Chance through 48 Hours)*--*(High)*--*(80 Percent)*
*(Formation Chance through 5 Days)*--*(High)*--*(90 Percent)*

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(1007 mb)*-*(29.74 inches)*

-------------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*-------------------------------------------------------
*(RAINFALL)*

The System Could Produce Total Rain Accumulations of *(4 to 8 Inches)* Across the Southern Cabo Verde Islands.
These Rains Could Produce Life-Threatening Flash Floods.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------*(WINDS)*-------------------------------------------------------------------

Tropical Storm Conditions are Expected in the Southern Cabo Verde Islands on Friday.

-------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*--------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(5:00 PM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #3 on:** August 30, 2018, 11:25:01 pm »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?cone#contents

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024221.png

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360
WTNT31 KNHC 310239
TCPAT1

----------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*------------------------------------------------------------------

*(Potential Tropical Cyclone Six)*--*(Advisory Number 3

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(11:00 PM AST)*--*(Thu Aug 30 2018)*

*************************************************************************************************************

***(DISTURBANCE GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED)***
**(HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS ON FRIDAY)**

*********************************(SUMMARY OF 11:00 PM AST...03:00 UTC...INFORMATION)***************************

LOCATION...*(13.2 N)*-*(20.9 W)*

ABOUT *(260 MI)*-*(415 KM ESE)* OF THE *(SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(35 MPH)*-*(55 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(W OR 280 DEGREES)* AT *(13 MPH)*-*(20 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(1007 MB)*-*(29.74 INCHES)*

----------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*----------------------------------------------------------
*(CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY)*

*(NONE)*

-------------------------------------------------*(SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT)*----------------------------------------

A Tropical Storm Warning is in Effect for...

*(Santiago)*
*(Fogo)*
*(Brava)*

A Tropical Storm Warning Means that Tropical Storm Conditions are
Expected Somewhere within the Warning Area,
in this Case, within the Next *(24 to 36 Hours)*

For Storm Information Specific to Your Area, Please Monitor
Products Issued by your National Meteorological Service.

-----------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*--------------------------------------------------------

At *(11:00 PM AST)*-*(03:00 UTC)*--The Disturbance was Centered Near
*(Latitude 13.2 North)*--*(Longitude 20.9 West)*

The System is Moving toward the West Near *(13 mph)*-*(20 km/h)*, and a General Motion Toward
the West-Northwest with an Increase in Forward Speed is Expected During the Next *(2 to 3 Days)*

On the Forecast Track, the Disturbance or the Tropical Cyclone is Expected to Move Near or Over the
Southern Cabo Verde Islands on Friday and Friday Night.

Maximum Sustained Winds are Near *(35 mph)*-*(55 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.
Strengthening is Forecast, and the Disturbance is Expected to Become a Tropical Storm Friday or Friday Night.

Environmental Conditions are Favorable for the System to Become a Tropical Cyclone on Friday.

*(Formation Chance through 48 Hours)*-*(High)*-*(90 Percent)*

*(Formation Chance through 5 Days)*-*(High)*-*(90 Percent)*

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(1007 mb)*-*(29.74 inches)*

-----------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*--------------------------------------------------------
*(RAINFALL)*

The System could Produce Total Rain Accumulations of *(4 to 8 Inches)* Across the Southern Cabo Verde Islands.
These Rains could Produce Life-Threatening Flash Floods.

----------------------------------------------------------------------*(WINDS)*---------------------------------------------------------------------

Tropical Storm Conditions are Expected in the Southern Cabo Verde Islands on Friday.

--------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*-------------------------------------------------------------

Next Intermediate Advisory at *(2:00 AM AST)*

Next Complete Advisory at *(5:00 AM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #4 on:** August 31, 2018, 07:28:23 pm »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/203517.shtml?cone#contents

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/203517.png

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611
WTNT31 KNHC 312032
TCPAT1

---------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*-------------------------------------------------------------------

*(Tropical Depression Six)*--*(Advisory Number 6)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(5:00 PM AST)*--*(Fri Aug 31 2018)*

************************************************************************************************************

***(TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS JUST SOUTH OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS)***

**(RAINBANDS AND GUSTY WINDS AFFECTING THOSE ISLANDS)**

************************************(SUMMARY OF 5:00 PM AST...21:00 UTC...INFORMATION)**************************

LOCATION...*(13.8 N)*-*(24.7 W)*

ABOUT *(70 MI)*-*(115 KM)*-*(SSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(35 MPH)*-*(55 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(W OR 270 DEGREES)* AT *(15 MPH)*-*(24 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(1004 MB)*-*(29.65 INCHES)*

------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*---------------------------------------------------------
*(CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY)*

*(NONE)*

-----------------------------------------------*(SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT)*------------------------------------------

A Tropical Storm Warning is in Effect for...

*(Cabo Verde Islands of Santiago, Fogo, and Brava)*

A Tropical Storm Warning Means that tropical Storm Conditions are Expected Somewhere Within the Warning Area,
in this Case within the Next *(6 to 12 hours)*

For Storm Information Specific to Your Area, Please Monitor Products
Issued by your National Meteorological Service.

------------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*-------------------------------------------------------

At *(5:00 PM AST)*-*(21:00 UTC)*--The Center of Newly Formed Tropical Depression Six was Located
near *(Latitude 13.8 North)*-*(Longitude 24.7 West)*

The Depression is Moving Toward the West near *(15 mph)*-*(24 km/h)* and this Track with a Gradual Turn to the
West-Northwest is Expected for the Next Two or Three Days.

On the Forecast Track, the Depression will be Passing just south of the Cabo Verde Islands Tonight and Saturday.

The Depression Should then be Moving over the Open Eastern Atlantic on Sunday and Monday.

Maximum Sustained Winds are Near *(35 mph)*-*(55 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.

Strengthening is Forecast, and the Depression is Expected to Become
a Tropical Storm Tonight or Saturday.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Based on Observations from
the Cabo Verde Islands is *(1004 mb)*-*(29.65 inches)*

-----------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*--------------------------------------------------------
*(RAINFALL)*

The System could Produce Total Rain Accumulations of *(2 to 4 inches)* Across the Southern Cabo Verde Islands
with Isolated Maximum Totals of *(8 inches)* Possible.

These Rains could Produce Life-Threatening Flash Floods.

------------------------------------------------------------------------*(WINDS)*-------------------------------------------------------------------

Tropical Storm Conditions are Expected to Continue in the Southern Cabo Verde Islands Tonight.
Winds Should Subside on Saturday.

-------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*--------------------------------------------------------------

*Next Intermediate Advisory at *(8:00 PM AST)*

*Next Complete Advisory at *(11:00 PM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #5 on:** September 01, 2018, 02:01:21 pm »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/145331.shtml?cone#contents

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423
WTNT31 KNHC 011443
TCPAT1

---------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*-------------------------------------------------------------------

*(Tropical Storm Florence)*--*(Advisory Number 9)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(11:00 AM AST)*--*(Sat Sep 01 2018)*

*************************************************************************************************************

***(FLORENCE HEADING TOWARD THE OPEN EASTERN ATLANTIC)***

*************************************(SUMMARY OF 11:00 AM AST...15:00 UTC...INFORMATION)************************

LOCATION...*(14.8 N)*-*(27.8 W)*

ABOUT *(225 MI)*-*(365 KM)*-*(WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(45 MPH)*-*(75 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(WNW OR 285 DEGREES)* AT *(14 MPH)*-*(22 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(1003 MB)*-*(29.62 INCHES)*

----------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*-----------------------------------------------------
*(SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT)*

There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in Effect.

------------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*------------------------------------------------------

At *(11:00 AM AST)*-*(15:00 UTC)*--The Center of Tropical Storm Florence was
Located near *(Latitude 14.8 North)*-*(Longitude 27.8 West)*

Florence is Moving Toward the West-Northwest Near *(14 mph)*-*(22 km/h)* and this
General Motion is Expected to Continue Through Tuesday.

On the Forecast Track, Florence will Continue to Move toward the Open Eastern Atlantic.

Maximum Sustained Winds have Increased to Near *(45 mph)*-*(75 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.

Some Strengthening is Forecast During the Next *(48 Hours)*

Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Extend Outward Up to *(35 miles)*-*(55 km)* from the Center.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(1003 mb)*-*(29.62 inches)*

-----------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*--------------------------------------------------------

*(NONE)*

--------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*-------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(5:00 PM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #6 on:** September 02, 2018, 10:16:01 am »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?cone#contents

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760
WTNT31 KNHC 020850
TCPAT1

---------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*-------------------------------------------------------------------

*(Tropical Storm Florence)*--*(Advisory Number 12)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(5:00 AM AST)*--*(Sun Sep 02 2018)*

************************************************************************************************************

***(FLORENCE GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING)***

*************************************(SUMMARY OF 5:00 AM AST...9:00 UTC...INFORMATION)*************************

LOCATION...*(16.5 N)*-*(31.4 W)*

ABOUT *(480 MI)*-*(770 KM)*-*(WNW OF THE SOUTHERN MOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(60 MPH)*-*(95 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(WNW OR 290 DEGREES)* AT *(15 MPH)*-*(24 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(999 MB)*-*(29.50 INCHES)*

----------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*-----------------------------------------------------
*(SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT)*

There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in Effect.

------------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*------------------------------------------------------

At *(5:00 AM AST)*-(09:00 UTC)*--The Center of Tropical Storm Florence was
Located near *(Latitude 16.5 North)*-*(Longitude 31.4 West)*

Florence is Moving Toward the West-Northwest Near *(15 mph)*-*(24 km/h)*
A Westward to West-Northwestward Motion at a Similar Forward Speed is Expected for the Next Few Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds have Increased to Near *(60 mph)*-(95 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.
Additional Slow Strengthening is Possible Today or Tomorrow,
but Little Overall Change in Strength is Expected through Tuesday.

Tropical-Storm-force Winds Extend Outward up to *(45 miles)*-*(75 km)* from the Center.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(999 mb)*-*(29.50 inches)*

-----------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*--------------------------------------------------------

*(NONE)*

--------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*-------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(11:00 AM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #7 on:** September 02, 2018, 11:28:58 pm »

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/AL062018_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

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024
WTNT31 KNHC 030233
TCPAT1

-----------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*-----------------------------------------------------------------

*(Tropical Storm Florence)*--*(Advisory Number 15)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(11:00 PM AST)*--*(Sun Sep 02 2018)*

*************************************************************************************************************

***(FLORENCE CONTINUES TO HOLD STEADY IN STRENGTH OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC)***

*******************************(SUMMARY OF 11:00 PM AST...03:00 UTC...INFORMATION)*****************************

LOCATION...*(17.9 N)*-*(35.9 W)*

ABOUT *(790 MI)*-*(1275 KM)*-*(WNW OF THE SOUTHERN MOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(50 MPH)*-*(85 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(WNW OR 290 DEGREES)* AT *(16 MPH)*-*(26 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(1000 MB)*-*(29.53 INCHES)*

--------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*-------------------------------------------------------

There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in Effect.

-------------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*------------------------------------------------------

At *(11:00 PM AST)*-(03:00 UTC))*-The Center of Tropical Storm Florence was
Located Near *(Latitude 17.9 North)*-*(Longitude 35.9 West)*

Florence is Moving Toward the West-Northwest Near *(16 mph)*-(26 km/h)*.
A Slightly Slower West to West-Northwest Motion is Expected during the Next Few Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds Remain Near *(50 mph)*-(85 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.
Little Change in Strength is Forecast During the Next Few Days.

Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Extend Outward up to *(60 miles)*-*(95 km)* from the Center.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(1000 mb)*-*(29.53 inches)*

-------------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*------------------------------------------------------

*(NONE)*

--------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(5:00 AM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #8 on:** September 03, 2018, 05:24:04 pm »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/203814.png

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/AL062018_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

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885
WTNT31 KNHC 032033
TCPAT1

-----------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*-----------------------------------------------------------------

*(Tropical Storm Florence)*--*(Advisory Number 16)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(5:00 PM AST)*--*(Sun Sep 02 2018)*

*************************************************************************************************************

***(FLORENCE JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH)***

**********************************(SUMMARY OF 5:00 PM AST...21:00 UTC...INFORMATION)***************************

LOCATION...*(18.6 N)*-*(39.8 W)*

ABOUT *(1055 MI)*-*(1700 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS)*

ABOUT *(1435 MI)*-*(2310 KM ENE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(70 MPH)*-*(110 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(W OR 280 DEGREES)* AT *(15 MPH)*-*(24 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(995 MB)*-*(29.39 INCHES)*

---------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*------------------------------------------------------

There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in Effect.

-------------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*------------------------------------------------------

At *(5:00 PM AST)*-*(21:00 UTC)*-The Center of Tropical Storm Florence was
Located Near *(Latitude 18.6 North)*-*(Longitude 39.8 West)*

Florence is Moving Toward the West Near *(15 mph)*-*(24 km/h)*

A Slightly Slower West-Northwestward Motion is Expected During the Next Few Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds have Increased to Near *(70 mph)*-*(110 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.

Little Change in Strength is Expected Through Tonight, but Some Weakening is Forecast on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Extend Outward Up to *(60 miles)*-*(95 km)* from the Center.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(995 mb)*-*(29.39 inches)*

-------------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*------------------------------------------------------

*(NONE)*

--------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(11:00 PM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #9 on:** September 04, 2018, 01:25:45 am »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/023242.png

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/AL062018_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

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354
WTNT31 KNHC 040230
TCPAT1

---------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*-------------------------------------------------------------------

*(Tropical Storm Florence)*--*(Advisory Number 19)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(11:00 PM)*--*(AST Mon Sep 03 2018)*

*************************************************************************************************************

***(FLORENCE REMAINS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH)***

*********************************(SUMMARY OF 11:00 PM AST...03:00 UTC...INFORMATION)***************************

LOCATION...*(18.9 N)*-*(41.0 W)*

ABOUT *(1135 MI)*-*(1830 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS)*

ABOUT *(1360 MI)*-*(2190 KM ENE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(70 MPH)*-*(110 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(WNW OR 290 DEGREES)* AT *(14 MPH)*-*(22 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(995 MB)*-*(29.39 INCHES)*

------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*---------------------------------------------------------

There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in Effect.

-----------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*-------------------------------------------------------

At *(11:00 PM AST)*-*(03:00 UTC))*-The Center of Tropical Storm Florence was
Located near *(Latitude 18.9 North)*-*(Longitude 41.0 West)*

Florence is Moving Toward the West-Northwest Near *(14 mph)*-*(22 km/h)*

A Slightly Slower West-Northwestward to Northwestward Motion is Expected During the Next Few Days.

Maximum Sustained Winds Remain Near *(70 mph)*-*(110 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.

Little Change in Strength is Expected through Tonight, but Some Weakening is Forecast on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Extend Outward up to *(80 miles)*-*(130 km)* from the Center.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(995 mb)*-*(29.39 inches)*

-------------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*------------------------------------------------------

*(NONE)*

--------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(5:00 AM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #10 on:** September 04, 2018, 06:01:11 pm »

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/AL062018_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

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158
WTNT31 KNHC 042031
TCPAT1

-----------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*-----------------------------------------------------------------

*(Hurricane Florence)*--*(Advisory Number 22)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(5:00 PM AST)*--*(Tue Sep 04 2018)*

*************************************************************************************************************

*(FLORENCE STRONGER THAN ANTICIPATED)*
*(STILL NO THREAT TO LAND THROUGH THE WEEKEND)*

**********************************(SUMMARY OF 5:00 PM AST...21:00 UTC...INFORMATION)***************************

LOCATION...*(20.3 N)*-*(43.2 W)*

ABOUT *(1305 MI)*-*(2100 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(85 MPH)*-*(140 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(WNW OR 300 DEGREES)* AT *(12 MPH)*-*(19 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(984 MB)*-*(29.06 INCHES)*

------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*---------------------------------------------------------

There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in Effect.

----------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*---------------------------------------------------------

At *(5:00 PM AST (21:00 UTC)*--The Center of Hurricane Florence was
Located near *(Latitude 20.3 North)*-*(Longitude 43.2 West)*

Florence is Moving Toward the West-Northwest Near *(12 mph)*-*(19 km/h)*, and this
General Motion is Expected to Continue through Wednesday Night.

A Northwestward Motion is Expected to Begin by Thursday with
Florence's Forward Speed Decreasing by the Weekend.

Maximum Sustained Winds have Increased to Near *(85 mph)*-*(140 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.
Some Additional Strengthening is Possible through Tonight,
but Florence is Expected to Weaken Beginning on Wednesday and Continuing through Friday.

Hurricane-Force Winds Extend Outward up to *(15 miles)*-*(30 km)* from the center,
and Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Extend Outward up to *(105 miles)*-*(165 km)*

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(984 mb)*-*(29.06 inches)*

-------------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*------------------------------------------------------

*(NONE)*

--------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(11:00 PM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #11 on:** September 05, 2018, 11:48:58 am »

<---*(THIS is an UPDATED REPORT from NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FLORIDA at 11:00am on 9/5/2018)*--->

====================================================================================

438
WTNT31 KNHC 051439
TCPAT1

----------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*------------------------------------------------------------------

*(Hurricane Florence)*--*(Advisory Number 25)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(11:00 AM AST)*--*(Wed Sep 05 2018)*

*************************************************************************************************************

***(FLORENCE FLOURISHING IN THE FACE OF SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR)***

**(FLORENCE IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE)**

***********************************(SUMMARY OF 11:00 AM AST...15:00 UTC...INFORMATION)**************************

LOCATION...*(22.0 N)*-*(45.7 W)*

ABOUT *(1160 MI)*-*(1865 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS)*

ABOUT *(1370 MI)*-*(2205 KM ESE OF BERMUDA)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(125 MPH)*-*(205 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(NW OR 305 DEGREES)* AT *(13 MPH)*-*(20 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(957 MB)*-*(28.26 INCHES)*

------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*---------------------------------------------------------

There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in Effect.

----------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*---------------------------------------------------------

At *(1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the Eye of Hurricane Florence was
Located Near *(Latitude 22.0 North)*-*(Longitude 45.7 West)*

Florence is Moving Toward the Northwest Near *(13 mph)*-*(20 km/h),
and This General Motion is Expected to Continue through Tonight.

A Turn Toward the West-Northwest with a Decrease in Forward Speed is Forecast on
Thursday, Followed by a Turn Back Toward the Northwest Early Next Week.

Satellite Images indicate that Maximum Sustained Winds have Increased to Near *(125 mph)*-*(205 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.

Florence is a Category 3 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Some Weakening is Possible During the Next few days, but Florence is
Expected to Remain a Strong Hurricane Through Early Next Week.

Hurricane-Force Winds Extend Outward Up to *(15 miles)*-(30 km)* from the Center,
and Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Extend Outward up to *(90 miles)*-(150 km).

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(957 mb)*-*(28.26 inches)*

-------------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*------------------------------------------------------

*(NONE)*

--------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(5:00 PM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #12 on:** September 06, 2018, 11:17:55 am »

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/AL062018_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

====================================================================================

636
WTNT31 KNHC 061438
TCPAT1

---------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*-------------------------------------------------------------------

*(Hurricane Florence)*--*(Advisory Number 29)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(11:00 AM AST)*--*(Thu Sep 06 2018)*

*************************************************************************************************************

***(FLORENCE WEAKENS FURTHER)***

**(NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE)**

*********************************(SUMMARY OF 11:00 AM AST...15:00 UTC...INFORMATION)****************************

LOCATION...*(24.6 N)*-*(48.6 W)*

ABOUT *(1030 MI)*-*(1660 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS)*

ABOUT *(1115 MI)*-*(1795 KM ESE OF BERMUDA)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(105 MPH)*-*(165 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(NW OR 315 DEGREES)* AT *(10 MPH)*-*(17 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(975 MB)*-*(28.80 INCHES)*

------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*---------------------------------------------------------

There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in Effect.

------------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*-------------------------------------------------------

At *(11:00 AM AST)*-*(15:00 UTC)*--The Center of Hurricane Florence was
Located near *(Latitude 24.6 North)*-*(Longitude 48.6 West)*

Florence is Moving Toward the Northwest Near *(10 mph)*-*(17 km/h).
A Turn Toward the West-Northwest and West with a Decrease in Forward Speed is Expected through Saturday.

Florence may Begin to Move Faster Toward the West-Northwest Over the Western Atlantic Early Next Week.

Maximum Sustained Winds have Decreased to Near *(105 mph)*-*(165 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.
Additional Weakening is Forecast During the Next Day or Two.

However, Florence is Expected to Remain a Hurricane and Likely Reintensify Over the Weekend.

Hurricane-Force Winds Extend Outward Up to *(15 miles)*-*(30 km)* from the Center,
and Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Extend Outward up to *(90 miles)*-*(150 km)*

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(975 mb)*-*(28.80 inches)*

---------------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*-----------------------------------------------------
*(SURF)*

Swells Generated by Florence will Begin to Affect Bermuda on Friday and will Reach
Portions of the U.S. East Coast Over the Weekend.

These Swells are Likely to Cause life-threatening Surf and Rip Current Conditions.

Please Consult Products from your Local Weather Office.

-------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*--------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(5:00 PM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #13 on:** September 07, 2018, 02:32:02 pm »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/144414.shtml?cone#contents

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/144414.png

====================================================================================

632
WTNT31 KNHC 071442
TCPAT1

---------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*-------------------------------------------------------------------

*(Tropical Storm Florence)*--*(Advisory Number 33)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(1100 AM AST)*--*(Fri Sep 07 2018)*

*************************************************************************************************************

***(FLORENCE'S WEAKENING APPEARS TO HAVE STOPPED FOR THE MOMENT)***
**(RESTRENGTHENING EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND)**

**********************************(SUMMARY OF 11:00 AM AST...15:00 UTC...INFORMATION)***************************

LOCATION...*(25.0 N)*-*(51.8 W)*

ABOUT *(865 MI)*-*(1390 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS)*

ABOUT *(935 MI)*-*(1505 KM ESE OF BERMUDA)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(65 MPH)*-*(100 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(W OR 270 DEGREES)* AT *(8 MPH)*-*(13 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(996 MB)*-*(29.42 INCHES)*

------------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*---------------------------------------------------------

There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in Effect.

-------------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*------------------------------------------------------

At *(11:00 AM AST)*-*((15:00 UTC), the Center of Tropical Storm Florence was
Located Near *(Latitude 25.0 North)*-*(Longitude 51.8 West)*

Florence is Moving Toward the West Near *(8 mph)*-*(13 km/h)*, and this General Motion
is Expected to Continue through Sunday.

A West-Northwestward Motion with an Increase in Forward Speed is Forecast Over the
Southwestern Atlantic Ocean Early Next Week.

Maximum Sustained Winds are Near *(65 mph)*-*((100 km/h)* with Higher Gusts.

Little Change in Intensity is Expected during the Next Day or So, but Re-Strengthening is Forecast over the Weekend.

Florence could Become a Hurricane again by Saturday night or Sunday.

Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Extend Outward up to *(140 miles)*-*(220 km)* from the Center.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(996 mb)*-*(29.42 inches)*

---------------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*-----------------------------------------------------
*(SURF)*

Swells Generated by Florence will Begin to Affect Bermuda Later Today and Will Reach Portions
of the U.S. East Coast Over the Weekend.

These Swells are Likely to Cause Life-Threatening Surf and Rip Current Conditions.

Please Consult Products from Your Local Weather Office.

-------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*--------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(5:00 PM AST)*

ipfd320 · « **Reply #14 on:** September 08, 2018, 12:57:28 pm »

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/145549.shtml?tswind120#contents

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/145549.shtml?cone#contents

====================================================================================

202
WTNT31 KNHC 081452
TCPAT1

----------------------------------------------------------------------*(BULLETIN)*------------------------------------------------------------------

*(Tropical Storm Florence)*--*(Advisory Number 37)*

*(NWS National Hurricane Center)*--*(Miami FL)* AL062018

*(11:00 AM AST)*--*(Sat Sep 08 2018)*

************************************************************************************************************

***(FLORENCE BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED)***

**(EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE TONIGHT)**

********************************(SUMMARY OF 11:00 AM AST...15:00 UTC...INFORMATION)*****************************

LOCATION...*(24.5 N)*-*(54.3 W)*

ABOUT *(835 MI)*-*(1340 KM SE OF BERMUDA)*

ABOUT *(715 MI)*-*(1150 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS)*

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...*(65 MPH)*-*(100 KM/H)*

PRESENT MOVEMENT...*(W OR 265 DEGREES)* AT *(7 MPH)*-*(11 KM/H)*

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...*(995 MB)*-*(29.39 INCHES)*

-----------------------------------------------------------*(WATCHES AND WARNINGS)*----------------------------------------------------------

There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in Effect.

-----------------------------------------------------------*(DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK)*--------------------------------------------------------

At *(11:00 AM AST)*-*(15:00 UTC))*--The Center of Tropical Storm Florence was
Located near *(Latitude 24.5 North)*-*(Longitude 54.3 West)*

Florence is Moving Toward the West Near *(7 mph)*-*(11 km/h)*, and this General
Motion is Expected to Continue During the Next Couple of Days.

A West-Northwestward to Northwestward Motion with an Increase in
Forward Speed is Expected by the Middle of Next Week.

On the Forecast Track, the Center of Florence will Move Over the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean Between Bermuda and the Bahamas
Tuesday and Wednesday, and Approach the Southeastern U.S. Coast on Thursday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Remain near *(65 mph)*-*(100 km/h)* with Higher Gusts,
but Florence is likely to Restrengthen to a Hurricane by Tonight.

Rapid Intensification is Expected to Start on Sunday, and Florence is Forecast to be a Major Hurricane by Tuesday.

Tropical-Storm-Force winds Extend Outward Up to *(140 miles)*-*(220 km)* from the Center.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure is *(995 mb)*-*(29.39 inches)*

-------------------------------------------------------------*(HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND)*-------------------------------------------------------
SURF

Swells Generated by Florence are Affecting Bermuda and will Reach Portions of the U.S. East Coast Over the Weekend.

These Swells are Likely to Cause life-Threatening surf and Rip Current Conditions.

Please Consult Products from your Local Weather Office.

---------------------------------------------------------------------*(NEXT ADVISORY)*------------------------------------------------------------

Next Complete Advisory at *(5:00 PM AST)*

News: