Author Topic: This Weekend: Record Cold in the South, Snow Northeast, New England Bomb Cyclone  (Read 308 times)

Offline ipfd320

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_______________________________________________________________________________________________________



At a Glance

* An extreme weather pattern is setting up for Mother's Day weekend.

* Dozens of daily records will fall in the Great Lakes, East and South.

* A frost is possible as far south as parts of the Carolinas and Southeast this weekend.

* Some wet snow is likely Friday night and Saturday in the interior Northeast.

* This could include rare May lake-effect snow in some of the Great Lakes snowbelts.

* Low pressure could undergo bombogenesis along the New England coast.

* May pressure records could be set along the New England coast and in northern Canada.




_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




An extreme weather pattern is setting up for Mother's Day weekend that will shatter dozens of temperature records, wring out strange May snow in the interior Northeast and possibly set May pressure records both in parts of New England and northern Canada.

This weather pattern would grab the attention of meteorologists in the middle of winter, much less the second weekend of May.

Basically, the jet stream will resemble a white-knuckle ride on a roller coaster.

Blocking high pressure near Greenland and another "omega block" of high pressure bulging northward from the West Coast of the U.S. to the Arctic Ocean northeast of Alaska will work together to force the jet stream to take a sharp southward plunge over the Great Lakes and Northeast.

There are several parts of this pattern that could be record-setting.

The Weather Channel meteorologist Jim Cantore noted temperatures in the mid-levels of the atmosphere – for meteorologists, the 500-millibar level – could reach minus 40 degrees (Celsius and Fahrenheit) over the Great Lakes this weekend, a first anywhere in the U.S. in May, according to data from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center dating to the mid-20th century.

Secondly, intensifying low pressure in the Northeast may become a bomb cyclone – a drop in the storm's central pressure by at least 24 millibars in 24 hours or less – by the time it moves into the Gulf of Maine on Saturday. The storm could be strong enough to set all-time May pressure records along the Maine coast, according to data compiled by David Roth, a meteorologist at NOAA's Weather Prediction Center.

If that wasn't enough, Roth noted the strength of high pressure over the Canadian Arctic could set May high-pressure records there.


Forecast:
Snow and Wind
As the frontal system moves through the Ohio Valley and Northeast on Friday, the air will be just cold enough to produce some wet snow in parts of the interior by Friday afternoon into Friday night.

On Saturday, snow, possibly heavy, is expected to continue in parts of northern New England, particularly in Maine, as the intense potential bomb cyclone wraps moisture into sufficiently cold air.

The best chance of accumulating snow will be over the higher terrain, but even lower elevations down to valley floors could have a bit of wet snow.

The heaviest snow accumulations are expected in the high country of northern New England, where over 6 inches of wet, heavy snow is possible.

As the storm intensifies, strong winds on Saturday, potentially lasting into Sunday morning, combined with the weight of wet snow, could trigger power outages and lead to some tree damage, particularly in northern New England.

As if that wasn't strange enough for the second weekend of May, some lake-effect snowbands may set up for a time on Saturday downwind of the eastern Great Lakes.

Lake-effect snow is quite rare this time of year for two reasons.

First, as we progress deeper into spring, the sun is higher in the sky, so temperatures typically warm up too much to generate much snow, particularly during the day.

Second, the Great Lakes are usually relatively cold from the past winter, and therefore, it's more difficult to generate enough of a temperature difference between the lake and the air above it that would manufacture lake snowbands.

In addition, some thundersnow is possible with intense snow squalls on Saturday, the NWS office in Binghamton, New York, noted in a Wednesday forecast discussion. These could lead to abrupt reductions in visibility that could make driving dangerous.


Forecast:
Record Cold

On Friday, the stronger cold front will sweep across the Midwest and East, making it feel more like late March than early May. High temperatures will be 10 to 25 degrees below average Friday into Mother's Day weekend.

Highs will only be in the 40s in most areas from the upper Midwest to the Great Lakes and interior Northeast on Friday. Much of the Northeast will stay in the 40s on Saturday. Some locations in the northern Great Lakes and in the higher elevations of the interior Northeast might not get out of the 30s.

Low temperatures will be downright cold for Mother's Day weekend, even in parts of the South.

Lows in the 30s will plunge into parts of the Carolinas and Tennessee Valley, including Nashville, Tennessee, where the average low this time of year is in the mid-50s.

Early-morning temperatures in the 20s are expected in the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and parts of the interior Northeast.

This late-season cold air might harm any sensitive spring vegetation where a frost or freeze occurs.

This weekend cold will threaten scores of daily record lows for May 9 and 10 in the Midwest, South and East. The graphic below shows Saturday morning's forecast lows compared to the record to beat that day.

Temperatures could also approach some all-time May record lows in a few spots this weekend, including Detroit (25 degrees), Lexington, Kentucky (26 degrees), Pittsburgh (26 degrees), Indianapolis (28 degrees), Knoxville, Tennessee (32 degrees), and Nashville (34 degrees).


________________________________________________________________________________________________________

                                 The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news,
                                                        the environment and the importance of science to our lives.

                                     This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

________________________________________________________________________________________________________






« Last Edit: May 10, 2020, 02:14:13 pm by ipfd320 »


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Offline ipfd320

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_______________________________________________________________________________________________________



REGIONAL FORECAST
Extreme Mother's Day Weekend: Record Cold into the South, Snow in the Northeast, Potential New England Bomb Cyclone
By weather.com meteorologists
8:00pm / May 8,2020
weather.com



_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________



At a Glance

* An extreme weather pattern is setting up for Mother's Day weekend.

* Dozens of daily records will fall in the Great Lakes, East and South.

* A frost is possible as far south as parts of the Carolinas and Southeast this weekend.

* Some wet snow is likely Saturday in the interior Northeast.

* This could include rare May lake-effect snow in some of the Great Lakes snowbelts




_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



An extreme weather pattern is setting up for Mother's Day weekend that will shatter dozens of temperature records, wring out strange May snow in the interior Northeast and possibly set May pressure records both in parts of New England and northern Canada.



Happening Now
Rain and snow continue to push northeastward through parts of the mid-Atlantic and Northeast with mainly rain along the I-95 corridor.

Light snow began to fall midday Friday in Buffalo, Rochester and Erie. By late Friday afternoon, snow was reported as far south as Wheeling, West Virginia, and Pittsburgh.



Forecast:
Snow and Wind

On Saturday, snow, possibly heavy, is expected to continue in parts of northern New England, particularly in Maine, as the intense potential bomb cyclone wraps moisture into sufficiently cold air.

The best chance of accumulating snow will be over the higher terrain, but even lower elevations down to valley floors could have a bit of wet snow.

The heaviest snow accumulations are expected in the high country of northern New England, where over 6 inches of wet, heavy snow is possible. The National Weather Service has issued a winter weather advisory for northern Maine for Saturday where slippery roads are likely.

As the storm intensifies, strong winds on Saturday, potentially lasting into Sunday morning, combined with the weight of wet snow, could trigger power outages and lead to some tree damage, particularly in northern New England.

Sustained winds will be over 20 mph at times with gusts 30 to 50 mph possible in the Northeast Saturday. The wind combined with below-average temperatures will make it feel even colder.

As if that wasn't strange enough for the second weekend of May, some lake-effect snowbands may set up for a time on Saturday downwind of the eastern Great Lakes. Lake-effect snow is quite rare this time of year for two reasons.

First, as we progress deeper into spring, the sun is higher in the sky, so temperatures typically warm up too much to generate much snow, particularly during the day.

Second, the Great Lakes are usually relatively cold from the past winter, and therefore, it's more difficult to generate enough of a temperature difference between the lake and the air above it that would manufacture lake snowbands.

In addition, some thundersnow is possible with intense snow squalls on Saturday, the NWS office in Binghamton, New York, noted in a Wednesday forecast discussion. These could lead to abrupt reductions in visibility that could make driving dangerous.

It's not out of the question that strong May sunshine on Saturday, combined with the very cold air aloft, could kick off a few showers with sprinkles of rain or even graupel (tiny, soft ice pellets) across the Northeast. (edited)



Forecast:
Record Cold

The strong cold front sweeping across the Midwest and East will make it feel more like late March than early May. High temperatures will be 10 to 25 degrees below average into Mother's Day weekend.

Much of the Northeast will stay in the 40s on Saturday. Some locations in the northern Great Lakes and in the higher elevations of the interior Northeast might not get out of the 30s.

Numerous daily record cold high temperatures are possible in the Midwest, South and East into early next week.

Low temperatures will be downright cold for Mother's Day weekend, even in parts of the South.

Lows in the 30s will plunge into parts of the Carolinas and Tennessee Valley, including Nashville, Tennessee, where the average low this time of year is in the mid-50s.

Early-morning temperatures in the 20s are expected in the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and parts of the interior Northeast.

This late-season cold air might harm any sensitive spring vegetation where a frost or freeze occurs.

The National Weather Service has issued freeze warnings and frost advisories from eastern Nebraska and Kansas, northeast Oklahoma, and northern Arkansas into much of the Midwest, parts of the mid-Atlantic and as far south as northern Georgia.

This weekend cold will threaten scores of daily record lows for May 9 and 10 in the Midwest, South and East. The graphic below shows Saturday morning's forecast lows compared to the record to beat that day for a few selected cities.

Temperatures could even approach some all-time May record lows in a few spots this weekend, including Detroit (25 degrees), Lexington, Kentucky (26 degrees), Pittsburgh (26 degrees), Indianapolis (28 degrees), Knoxville, Tennessee (32 degrees), and Nashville (34 degrees).



Extreme Pattern
This weather pattern would grab the attention of meteorologists in the middle of winter, much less the second weekend of May.

Basically, the jet stream will resemble a white-knuckle ride on a roller coaster.

Blocking high pressure near Greenland and another "omega block" of high pressure bulging northward from the West Coast of the U.S. to the Arctic Ocean northeast of Alaska will work together to force the jet stream to take a sharp southward plunge over the Great Lakes and Northeast.

There are several parts of this pattern that could be record-setting.

For starters, the cold surface air mass pushing toward the United States from northern Canada is exceptionally strong. The town of Mould Bay in Canada's Northwest Territories set an all-time barometric high pressure record for May with a reading of 1049.2 millibars on Friday, according to David Roth, a meteorologist at NOAA's Weather Prediction Center.

The Weather Channel meteorologist Jim Cantore noted temperatures in the mid-levels of the atmosphere – for meteorologists, the 500-millibar level – could reach minus 40 degrees (Celsius and Fahrenheit) over the Great Lakes this weekend, a first anywhere in the U.S. in May, according to data from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center dating to the mid-20th century.

Secondly, intensifying low pressure in the Northeast may become a bomb cyclone – a drop in the storm's central pressure by at least 24 millibars in 24 hours or less – by the time it moves into the Gulf of Maine on Saturday. The storm could be strong enough to set all-time May pressure records along the Maine coast, according to data compiled by Roth.



________________________________________________________________________________________________________

                                 The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news,
                                                        the environment and the importance of science to our lives.

                                     This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

________________________________________________________________________________________________________








« Last Edit: May 09, 2020, 10:28:10 pm by ipfd320 »
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Offline ipfd320

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_______________________________________________________________________________________________________



REGIONAL FORECAST
Extreme Mother's Day Weekend: Bomb Cyclone to Usher in All-Time May Record Cold, Northeast Snow
By weather.com meteorologists
8:00pm / May 9,2020
weather.com



_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________



At a Glance

* An extreme weather pattern is in place for Mother's Day weekend.

* Some all-time May record lows have been set in the Northeast and Midwest.

* A frost is possible as far south as parts of the Carolinas and Southeast this weekend.

* Parts of the Northeast have picked up over 10 inches of snow.

* Rare May lake-effect snow is also falling in some Great Lakes snowbelts.

* This system has rapidly intensified as it exits the United States.




_________________________________________________________________________________________________________



An extreme weather pattern is in place this Mother's Day weekend that shattered dozens of temperature records, wrung out strange May snow in the interior Northeast and set at least one May pressure record.


Happening Now
Some rare May lake-effect snowbands and snow squalls were spreading across the Great Lakes and interior Northeast. Overpasses were already snow covered in parts of western Pennsylvania, according to live cams.

Graupel has mixed in across parts of the I-95 corridor.


TWITTER MESSAGE
MJVentrice
@MJVentrice
Looks like dip N dots

TWITTER IMAGE LINK
6:18 PM - May 9, 2020
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EXm92y1X0AEaZMU?format=jpg&name=900x900


Several trees and power lines have been damaged by gusty winds in southeastern New England already. A tree and powerline came down on two cars in Providence, Rhode Island, Saturday afternoon. Cars were also damaged by falling trees in Plymouth and Norfolk, Massachusetts.

Wind gusts have already been as high as 55 mph.

Parts of Upstate New York, Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine have already picked up 3-6 inches of snow, with up to 14 inches in eastern Maine.

One location near the Vermont - New York border northeast of Albany at an elevation of 1,300 feet reported one foot of new snow Saturday morning.


TWITTER MESSAGE
Jeff Richards
@JeffTwinsfather
@NWSAlbany @WashCoNYDPS911 #snow has stopped, 8" total on the snow boards. Which month is this, MAZY is what I'll name it!!!! Harford NY, 760' elevation


TWITTER IMAGE LINK
8:25 AM - May 9, 2020
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EXk2GngXkAIy4Gd?format=jpg&name=small


Light snow accumulations were also reported in parts of western and central Massachusetts and the Litchfield Hills of northern Connecticut.


TWITTER MESSAGE
Christine Peterson
@ChrisPetersonTG
Ohhhhhh. They were serious about snow on May 9, 2020 😳 @NWSBoston these are from #Barre at 1070 Feet.


TWITTER IMAGE LINK
7:40 AM - May 9, 2020
https://twitter.com/ChrisPetersonTG/status/1259085831207358464/photo/1


Just after 1 a.m. Saturday, New York City's precipitation ended as less than an hour's worth of wet snow, tying the city's record latest spring snow. A trace of snow and a new record low temperature for the date will go into the record books.

Boston's temperature only rose to 44 degrees, Saturday afternoon, setting a new coolest maximum temperature record for the date.

The system set low pressure records in Maine. Eastpoint, Maine dropped to 982.0 mb Saturday afternoon, eclipsing the previous record low pressure for the month of May of 982.4 mb.

More records and superlatives from this extreme event can be toward toward the end of the article.



Forecast:
Record Cold

The strong cold front sweeping across the Midwest and East will make it feel more like late March than early May. High temperatures will be 10 to 25 degrees below average Mother's Day weekend.

Numerous daily record cold high temperatures are possible in the Midwest, South and East the next few days.

Low temperatures will be downright cold for Mother's Day weekend, even in parts of the South.

Thirties will plunge into parts of the Carolinas and Tennessee Valley, including Nashville, Tennessee, where the average low this time of year is in the mid-50s.

Early-morning temperatures in the 20s are expected in the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and parts of the interior Northeast.

This late-season cold air might harm any sensitive spring vegetation where a frost or freeze occurs.

The National Weather Service has issued freeze warnings and frost advisories for much of the Appalachians, interior mid-Atlantic and portions of the Northeast. Freeze warnings and frost advisories have also been issued in the Plains.

These are locations where spring plant growth could be killed off, especially in the areas in pink on the map below. Move plants in side and cover gardens if possible.

This cold will threaten scores of daily record lows this weekend in the Midwest, South and East.

As mentioned earlier, some all-time May record lows could be in jeopardy.

If that isn't enough, a reinforcing blast of cold air will drop from the Plains and Midwest this weekend into the East and South, with more record lows expected at least through Tuesday, if not lingering into Wednesday morning.


Forecast:
Snow and Wind

Parts of northern Maine may pick up another few inches of snow through Sunday morning, before precipitation with the low pulls away. Lighter snow is possible elsewhere throughout the Northeast in snowbands.

Strong winds combined with the weight of wet snow, could trigger power outages and lead to some tree damage, particularly in northern New England. Some graupel may continue to mix in at times across northern New England.

Gusts up to 50 mph are possible in parts of the Northeast. The wind combined with below-average temperatures will make it feel even colder.

A separate weather system sweeping through the Northern Plains and Great Lakes this weekend should also lay down a narrow stripe of accumulating wet snow from North Dakota and northern Minnesota into northern Wisconsin and northern Michigan that could lead to some slushy accumulation on roads, particularly at night.

A few strong thunderstorms are also possible on the southern side of this clipper system, generally in parts of Indiana and Ohio.



Notables and Records So Far
Pittsburgh reported a trace of snow both Friday and Saturday, the first consecutive May days of snow, there, in 97 years.

And, as noted by NWS-Charleston, West Virginia, meteorologist Nick Webb, Snowshoe, West Virginia, set their record 24-hour May snowfall in 45 years of records. Elkins, West Virginia, also set a new 24-hour May snow record, picking up 1.5 inches of snow Friday.

This forecast prompted the National Weather Service in Caribou, Maine, to issue its first May winter storm warning in at least 15 years. According to the NWS, this event could be the heaviest May calendar-day snow on record in both Caribou (current record: 5.8 inches in 1967) and Bangor (current record: 3.8 inches in 1963).

Meanwhile, the cold has already smashed records in the East.

All-time May record lows were set Saturday in Binghamton, New York (24 degrees); Fort Wayne, Indiana (23 degrees); Indianapolis (27 degrees); New York's LaGuardia Airport, and Jackson, Kentucky (30 degrees). State College, Pennsylvania, New York's JFK Airport and London, Kentucky tied their all-time May records, Saturday.

According to the National Weather Service, prior to Saturday, the latest spring date Fort Wayne, Indiana, plunged to 23 degrees was Apr. 20, 1897 and 1904, almost three weeks earlier in the spring.

Nashville, Tennessee, also plunged to their coldest low so late in spring Saturday morning, beating their previous record latest 35-degree low by three days.

Washington's Reagan National Airport dipped to its coldest May low since 1966. Peoria, Illinois, had its latest spring freeze since 1971.

Van Wert, Ohio, plunged to 18 degrees Saturday morning, the first time they've dropped into the teens in May in 127 years of records.

Wind chills in were as cold as the teens, even upper single digits, in parts of the East Saturday.



Extreme Pattern
This weather pattern would grab the attention of meteorologists in the middle of winter, much less the second weekend of May.

Basically, the jet stream will resemble a white-knuckle ride on a roller coaster.

Blocking high pressure near Greenland and another "omega block" of high pressure bulging northward from the West Coast of the U.S. to the Arctic Ocean northeast of Alaska will work together to force the jet stream to take a sharp southward plunge over the Great Lakes and Northeast.

There are several parts of this pattern that could be record-setting.

For starters, the cold surface air mass pushing toward the United States from northern Canada is exceptionally strong. The town of Mould Bay in Canada's Northwest Territories set an all-time barometric high pressure record for May with a reading of 1049.2 millibars on Friday, according to David Roth, a meteorologist at NOAA's Weather Prediction Center.

The Weather Channel meteorologist Jim Cantore noted temperatures in the mid-levels of the atmosphere – for meteorologists, the 500-millibar level – could reach minus 40 degrees (Celsius and Fahrenheit) over the Great Lakes this weekend, a first anywhere in the U.S. in May, according to data from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center dating to the mid-20th century.

Secondly, intensifying low pressure in the Northeast is now a bomb cyclone – a drop in the storm's central pressure by at least 24 millibars in 24 hours or less – in the Gulf of Maine. The storm is already strong enough to set all-time May pressure records along the Maine coast, according to data compiled by Roth.

Eastpoint, Maine dropped to 982.0 mb Saturday afternoon, eclipsing the previous record low pressure for the month of May of 982.4 mb.



________________________________________________________________________________________________________

                                 The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news,
                                                        the environment and the importance of science to our lives.

                                     This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

________________________________________________________________________________________________________







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